That’s the official stance of everybody really.

Unofficially : US doesn’t really want that because that would significantly reduce their diplomatic influence and weapons sales. European nations don’t want it, because of responsibility, it would be expensive and we would end up with a lot of armed nations that don’t really like each other that much.

So, it’s really beneficial for everyone that it stays like it is.

We have had many predictions like that before. I believed in some and I take myself to be quite conservative in these estimations. What I saw is that none of them actually happen as an event, but very gradually. The best example is artillery shells. Media has predicted that Russia will run out of shells many times, but it doesn’t happen of course, because thats not how the world works. They just reduce consumption. This reduction was not big enough for any media to even report.

What im trying to say is that there is very likely not going to be an event when Russia cracks. As sanctions are applied, workarounds are found. They have enough people by sheer numbers to at least defend the front for many years to come.

Not significantly. For now Russia made sufficient changes to endure and project an appearance of stability.

That’s not the point. The point is when will this effect the war? Significantly. Enough to matter to Ukraine.

Russian economy is going towards ruin…

… but it’s not nearly fast enough to have a substantial impact on the war in Ukraine. Russia is good to fight for another 2 or 3 years, maybe an additional year if they really push it. Can Ukraine do that? Not unless NATO seriously ramps up high tech weapon deliveries.

99%? Source?

My point was that it’s usually not malicious, definitely not to warrant walking over someones car.

Sometimes when you drive and think you will be able to proceed but something happens that you have to stop and sometimes that’s over a crosswalk. That happen. Some car or motorcycle might drive fast or they might run a red light, or three could just be an error that keeps you from proceeding.

This is not something to get upset about. It can happen for many reasons.

I think star trek always needs old miles O’brien, but I’ll take him as a special guest as you proposed. or maybe recurring?

Nice!

How is this stuff legally? I have no issue with Ukraine doing this, but it feels kind of dodgy. From a western law perspective.

I didn’t watch prodigy yet. Is it fun for older people?

The operator is like : wtf do I do now? 🤣

Probably since they himarsed that new conscript party.

Ah cool. I subscribe to the guy as well!

Yes, that is what Im hoping. But to force troop relocation, you have to dig in which takes time or you have to blitz to Moscow like prigozin, which would really be madness, but it could work.

I hope this is part of a bigger plan and not some desperation move.

How are they set? Where are they are supposed to be set?

I don’t really know, but when they have weird illogical views that they defend with trump like arguments, I think they are kids. They might not be 10.

He will be winning and everything will be going according to plan until he is dead.

Everytime it’s a bit different.